Dema

Marketing mix modeling

Make your next euro
work harder.

Model how marketing contributes to sales and profit. Explore diminishing returns, compare scenarios and plan budgets using the full commercial picture.

The next euro has a different return
More spend.
Less headroom.

Incremental contribution

Current spendIllustrative saturation curve. Incremental contribution increases with spend, but the additional return diminishes. A marker shows current spend at €55,000.
€0 spend€100k spend
Modeled channel response

The curve’s slope describes the return on additional spend.

Trusted by commercial teams at leading brands

Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine
Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine
Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine

Choose what the plan should achieve

One budget.
More than one goal.

A plan built for new customers can look different from one built for contribution. Choose the outcome, then compare how the allocation changes.

Use constraints to keep the plan grounded in the business. The example shows three scenarios for the same total budget.

Same budget. A different objective.
Field overshirt campaign creative
The next month, plannedCore collection · Cross-channel budget
3 channels
Total budget€100,000
MetaMeta
€35,000
Google AdsGoogle Ads
€40,000
TikTokTikTok
€25,000
Modeled contribution€32,000

Compare trade-offs before choosing an allocation.

Make the trade-offs visible

A budget is a set of decisions.

Look beyond the channel with the highest average return. Consider the economics, the next period and the limits the plan must respect.

Bring it back to contribution.

Evaluate the economics after product costs, returns, fulfilment and advertising.

What you keep
€20,000Contribution after advertising

Look ahead with context.

Read modeled expectations alongside historical performance.

Actuals meet what comes next
Next 6 weeksForecasts alongside historical performance
Forecast beginsIllustrative demand with six forecast periods and a widening uncertainty range.
HistoricalForecast
ActualForecast

Set the room to move.

Use constraints to protect commitments and limit budget swings.

Room to move, within your rules
Meta10k–€45k
Google20k–€50k
TikTok10k–€35k

Gray shows the allowed range. Blue marks the proposed allocation.

Keep people in the decision.

Review the proposed change before it reaches a connected system.

Google Ads

Lower the daily budget

PMax · Germany

Daily budget
Current
€120
Proposed
€100
Needs your approval

Challenge the assumptions

Let the experiment
inform the model.

A response curve is an estimate. A well-designed geo test adds evidence about what happened when spend changed in a particular market.

Use that evidence to inform calibration and compare model expectations with observed results. Keep the uncertainty in view as you plan beyond the tested conditions.

Explore incrementality testing
A controlled change
Field overshirt campaign creative
Core collectionMeta · Prospecting
Regional test
Treatment

Change spend

Control

Keep the plan

Compare outcomes across comparable regions.

Trusted by category leaders.

All customer stories
Axel Arigato

More Google spend. More incremental profit.

Incrementality tests revealed profitable headroom on Google.

Read the story
Axel Arigato campaign: tying a blue sneaker
Axel Arigato
Incremental epROAS on Google scaling
>100%
Axel Arigato

9x

Branded search over-attribution uncovered

Ridestore

-10%

Lower CAC

Mini Rodini

2 weeks

Time to integrate

Questions

Before the next budget decision.

Bring one commercial job

Give the next euro a better direction.

Build with Dema.